FX Week Ahead - Top 5 Events: August Canada Inflation Report & USD/CAD Rate Forecast
The August Canada inflation report (consumer price index) is due on Wednesday, September 18 at 12:30 GMT.
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Abstract:USDCAD rallies to near six-month high after the central bank left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 1.75% with the accompanying release highlighting a mildly dovish overtone.
USDCAD Price, Chart and Analysis:
Bank of Canada leaves monetary policy unchanged.
USDCAD hits a six-month high.
Q2 2019 CAD Forecast and USD Top Trading Opportunities
Keep up to date with all key economic data and event releases via the DailyFX Economic Calendar
Bank of Canada (BoC) governor Stephen Poloz left interest rates unchanged at 1.75%, in-line with market expectations, and rates are now likely set to stay put until after the federal elections in October. While Canadian inflation is at or near the 2% target, the BoC has recently trimmed its growth forecasts and suggested a pick-up is unlikely until H2 2019 or later. In the release the BoC made no mention of returning to a ‘neutral rate’, a line seen in the past announcements, giving todays release a marginally dovish overtone. The next BoC rate decision is on July 10.
USDCAD touched a near six-month high (1.3521) earlier in the session and blew through that level post-release. USDCAD is currently trading at 1.3540 and now looking at the January 2 high at 1.3670 as its next bull target.
Canadian Dollar Forecast: USDCAD Eyeing a Rally off the Consolidation Zone.
USDCAD Five-Minute Price Chart May 29, 2019.

Retail traders are 23.9% net-long USDCAD according to the latest IG Client Sentiment Data, a bullish contrarian indicator. Recent daily and weekly positional changes however give us a stronger bullish contrarian bias.
We run several Trader Sentiment Webinars every week explaining how to use IG client sentiment data and positioning when looking at a trade set-up. Access the DailyFX Webinar Calendar to get all the times and links for a wide range of webinars.
What is your view on USDCAD – bullish or bearish? You can let us know via the form at the end of this piece or you can contact the author at nicholas.cawley@ig.comor via Twitter @nickcawley1.
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.

The August Canada inflation report (consumer price index) is due on Wednesday, September 18 at 12:30 GMT.

Recent developments in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) foreshadow a further decline in USDCAD as the indicator snaps the bullish formation carried over from July.

The recent Canadian dollar weakness against the US dollar may come under pressure later in the session as the Bank of Canada releases its latest interest rate decision. Nearby USDCAD support may come under pressure.

USD/CAD put in an aggressive bearish trend in June and early-July, but has seen 50% of that prior move wiped out in a retracement.